Are we approaching a turning point in Manhattan’s housing market? Are prices nearing the bottom? Only with the benefit of hindsight can we determine highs and lows, but it feels very much like 2009 when home prices sank and remained flat until regaining traction and climbing past the peaks of 2007 to new highs seven years later in 2014.
We’re just past the 10-year anniversary of Lehman’s 2008 collapse and into the 9th year of U.S. economic recovery which trumpets at least three robust measures: a 3.7% unemployment rate that’s the lowest in nearly 70 years, a 20% rise in GDP, and a bull stock market that’s up more than 50% from 2007 even after the last two-day downward slide.... The current housing slowdown which began in NYC at the upper end of the market is now palpable in every market category... Since 2009, there's never been a better time to purchase a home, despite spiking interest rates and tax reform concerns.
Change in our local residential real estate market, and for that matter in life, is a given and our only constant. For every up, there comes a down, and for every step forward, there’s a step or two back. Life has its turns, and real estate has its cycles.
Numbers tell only part of the story. At the end of each quarter, we’re showered with statistical reports that require us to consider the macro and the micro of our market. Yet each neighborhood and even each building has its own contextual history. To best serve buyers and sellers, agents need to dig deeply into quarterly reports and then plough even deeper into individual comps, examining both sold and current properties to scrutinize every factor that influences a sale including condition, staging, monthly carrying charges, price drops, time on the market and extenuating circumstances.